Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#165
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#130
Pace58.6#331
Improvement+3.2#50

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#165
Improvement-2.1#286

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#165
Improvement+5.2#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% n/a n/a
First Round99.8% n/a n/a
Second Round3.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 18   @ Texas L 50-85 7%     0 - 1 -18.7 +8.2 +8.2
  Nov 17, 2014 22   @ Iowa L 56-87 8%     0 - 2 -15.1 +7.9 +7.9
  Nov 21, 2014 336   Kennesaw St. W 68-55 92%     1 - 2 -2.9 -8.0 -8.0
  Nov 22, 2014 265   Hampton W 74-66 78%     2 - 2 -0.4 -4.2 -4.2
  Nov 30, 2014 319   @ Montana St. W 72-51 75%     3 - 2 +13.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 03, 2014 303   @ Southern Miss L 65-78 69%     3 - 3 -18.4 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 07, 2014 174   @ Montana L 57-69 41%     3 - 4 -9.7 +1.1 +1.1
  Dec 13, 2014 318   North Dakota W 71-42 88%     4 - 4 +16.1 -6.4 -6.4
  Dec 16, 2014 106   Akron W 55-46 45%     5 - 4 +10.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Dec 21, 2014 125   Kent St. L 52-53 39%     5 - 5 +1.7 +1.3 +1.3
  Dec 22, 2014 347   Alcorn St. W 61-50 93%     6 - 5 -5.6 -8.3 -8.3
  Jan 02, 2015 215   Oral Roberts W 72-66 69%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +0.6 -2.7 -2.7
  Jan 04, 2015 111   South Dakota St. W 72-69 46%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +3.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 08, 2015 263   @ Nebraska Omaha W 75-72 60%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +0.3 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 14, 2015 221   @ South Dakota L 67-71 50%     9 - 6 3 - 1 -4.3 -0.1 -0.1
  Jan 16, 2015 324   Western Illinois W 61-48 90%     10 - 6 4 - 1 -1.2 -7.1 -7.1
  Jan 22, 2015 286   @ IUPUI W 69-61 OT 64%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +4.2 -1.9 -1.9
  Jan 24, 2015 184   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-77 43%     11 - 7 5 - 2 -4.4 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 29, 2015 220   Denver W 61-54 OT 71%     12 - 7 6 - 2 +1.0 -3.0 -3.0
  Feb 01, 2015 324   @ Western Illinois W 64-62 78%     13 - 7 7 - 2 -6.4 -4.2 -4.2
  Feb 05, 2015 263   Nebraska Omaha W 64-57 78%     14 - 7 8 - 2 -1.4 -4.2 -4.2
  Feb 07, 2015 221   South Dakota W 71-47 71%     15 - 7 9 - 2 +18.0 -3.0 -3.0
  Feb 12, 2015 220   @ Denver W 73-69 OT 50%     16 - 7 10 - 2 +3.8 -0.1 -0.1
  Feb 14, 2015 111   @ South Dakota St. L 58-68 26%     16 - 8 10 - 3 -3.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 19, 2015 286   IUPUI W 57-48 81%     17 - 8 11 - 3 -0.6 -4.8 -4.8
  Feb 21, 2015 184   Purdue Fort Wayne W 66-62 65%     18 - 8 12 - 3 -0.2 -2.1 -2.1
  Feb 26, 2015 215   @ Oral Roberts L 58-74 48%     18 - 9 12 - 4 -15.7 +0.2 +0.2
  Mar 07, 2015 220   Denver W 61-50 61%     19 - 9 +7.9 -1.6 -1.6
  Mar 09, 2015 215   Oral Roberts W 60-56 59%     20 - 9 +1.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Mar 10, 2015 111   South Dakota St. W 57-56 36%     21 - 9 +4.7 +1.8 +1.8
Projected Record 21.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.9 0.5 17.8 69.7 11.9
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.5 17.8 69.7 11.9